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Cambuur vs Excelsior

Eredivisie • Friday, August 07, 2026 • 20:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (54.3% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 49%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 20:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Cambuur vs Excelsior Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Cambuur an overall score of 68 compared with 78 for Excelsior. The attacking ratings are 71 and 82, while form ratings stand at 68 and 78. This gives Excelsior the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78 for Cambuur and 2.36 for Excelsior, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 69.80% and both teams to score at 54.30%.

Confidence

49% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.90 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

0.78 - 2.36 Cambuur vs Excelsior
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinCambuur
20.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinExcelsior
68.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
69.80%
BTTSBoth teams to score
54.30%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability54.30%
Model Probability%
Value Edge20.18%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 54.3%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=54.30, confidence=49, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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