Everton vs Sunderland
Premier League • Sunday, May 17, 2026 • 16:00
Everton vs Sunderland Pre-Match Data
Everton enter this Premier League fixture ranked 13 with 49 points from 38 matches, while Sunderland sit 7 with 54 points. Sunderland hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Sunderland carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Everton have scored 47 and conceded 50, giving them a goal difference of -3. Sunderland have scored 42 and conceded 48, with a goal difference of -6. On that measure, Everton show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Everton's form string is LLDDL, while Sunderland's latest sequence is WWDDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Everton an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Sunderland. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Sunderland the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.66.
Confidence
51%Low ConfidenceRisk Level
High RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
5.10Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.66 - 0.95Everton vs SunderlandProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Everton win probability is 51.09%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Sunderland win probability is 33.65%. Expected goals: Everton 1.66, Sunderland 0.95.
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