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FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys

Conference League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (54.57% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 49%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give FK Tobol Kostanay an overall score of 73 compared with 63 for Panevėžys. The attacking ratings are 76 and 65, while form ratings stand at 73 and 63. This gives FK Tobol Kostanay the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.30 for FK Tobol Kostanay and 0.87 for Panevėžys, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.17. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 69.66% and both teams to score at 54.57%.

Confidence

49% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.90 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.30 - 0.87 FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFK Tobol Kostanay
61.74%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinPanevėžys
26.26%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
69.66%
BTTSBoth teams to score
54.57%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-7.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 54.57%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=69, probability=54.57, confidence=49, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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