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FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split

Conference League • Thursday, August 06, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (55.96% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 50%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give FK Zalgiris Vilnius an overall score of 71 compared with 70 for HNK Hajduk Split. The attacking ratings are 75 and 86, while form ratings stand at 71 and 70. This gives FK Zalgiris Vilnius the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.98 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.15 for HNK Hajduk Split, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.13. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 69.94% and both teams to score at 55.96%.

Confidence

50% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.00 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.98 - 1.15 FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFK Zalgiris Vilnius
49.54%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinHNK Hajduk Split
32.46%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
69.94%
BTTSBoth teams to score
55.96%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability55.96%
Model Probability%
Value Edge15.82%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 55.96%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=55.96, confidence=50, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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