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Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints

Conference League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (31.72% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 45%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Flora Tallinn an overall score of 69 compared with 68 for The New Saints. The attacking ratings are 76 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 68. This gives Flora Tallinn the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.81 for Flora Tallinn and 1.30 for The New Saints, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 68.58% and both teams to score at 31.72%.

Confidence

45% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.81 - 1.30 Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFlora Tallinn
43.14%
DrawMatch draw
22.00%
Away WinThe New Saints
34.86%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
68.58%
BTTSBoth teams to score
31.72%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-11.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 31.72%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=63, probability=31.72, confidence=45, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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