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France vs Spain

World Cup 2026 • Tuesday, July 14, 2026 • 21:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (20.45% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 63%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 21:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

France vs Spain Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give France an overall score of 87 compared with 87 for Spain. The attacking ratings are 89 and 86, while form ratings stand at 87 and 87. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.96 for France and 1.62 for Spain, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.58. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 76.53% and both teams to score at 20.45%.

Confidence

63% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.96 - 1.62 France vs Spain
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFrance
37.35%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinSpain
34.65%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
76.53%
BTTSBoth teams to score
20.45%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge6.82%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 20.45%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=66, probability=20.45, confidence=63, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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