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Fulham vs Newcastle

Premier League Premier League • Sunday, May 24, 2026 • 17:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @2.50 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence65%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff17:00
Market Odds@2.50
Match Statistical Context

Fulham vs Newcastle Pre-Match Data

Fulham enter this Premier League fixture ranked 11 with 52 points from 38 matches, while Newcastle sit 12 with 49 points. Fulham hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Fulham carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Fulham have scored 47 and conceded 51, giving them a goal difference of -4. Newcastle have scored 53 and conceded 55, with a goal difference of -2. On that measure, Newcastle show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Fulham's form string is WDLLW, while Newcastle's latest sequence is LWDWL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Fulham an overall score of 71 compared with 70 for Newcastle. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 70. This gives Fulham the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.53.

Confidence

65%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.50Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.53 - 1.56Fulham vs Newcastle
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFulham
33.60%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinNewcastle
38.40%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.00%
BTTSBoth teams to score
62.00%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability40.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge21.52%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Fulham win probability is 33.60%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Newcastle win probability is 38.40%. Expected goals: Fulham 1.53, Newcastle 1.56.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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