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Grenoble vs Metz

Ligue 2 • Friday, August 14, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (46.28% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 47%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 20:45
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Grenoble vs Metz Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Grenoble an overall score of 71 compared with 70 for Metz. The attacking ratings are 73 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 70. This gives Grenoble the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.46 for Grenoble and 0.73 for Metz, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.19. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 71.02% and both teams to score at 46.28%.

Confidence

47% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.70 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.46 - 0.73 Grenoble vs Metz
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinGrenoble
66.01%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinMetz
21.99%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
71.02%
BTTSBoth teams to score
46.28%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability46.28%
Model Probability%
Value Edge18.44%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 46.28%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=68, probability=46.28, confidence=47, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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