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Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz

Champions League • Tuesday, July 28, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners (76.29% probability)

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 55%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.75
Match Statistical Context

Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Heart Of Midlothian an overall score of 70 compared with 75 for Sturm Graz. The attacking ratings are 73 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 75. This gives Sturm Graz the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.54 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.55 for Sturm Graz, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.09. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 76.29% and both teams to score at 83.26%.

Confidence

55% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.54 - 1.55 Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinHeart Of Midlothian
33.72%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinSturm Graz
38.28%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
76.29%
BTTSBoth teams to score
83.26%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.14%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-2.14%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Corners Engine v1 predicts Over 8.5 Corners. Model probability: 76.29%. Quality gate: corners quality=78, probability=76.29, confidence=55, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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