HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos
Europa League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 19:00
HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give HNK Hajduk Split an overall score of 70 compared with 75 for Pafos. The attacking ratings are 86 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 75. This gives Pafos the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.66 for HNK Hajduk Split and 1.44 for Pafos, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.40% and both teams to score at 73.40%.
Confidence
63% Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.30 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.66 - 1.44 HNK Hajduk Split vs PafosProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. HNK Hajduk Split win probability is 36.39%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Pafos win probability is 35.61%. Expected goals: HNK Hajduk Split 1.66, Pafos 1.44. Recent form: HNK Hajduk Split WWWWW (15 pts), Pafos N/A (0 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More Europa League Predictions
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