Leeds vs Brighton
Premier League • Sunday, May 17, 2026 • 16:00
Leeds vs Brighton Pre-Match Data
Leeds enter this Premier League fixture ranked 14 with 47 points from 38 matches, while Brighton sit 8 with 53 points. Brighton hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Brighton carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Leeds have scored 49 and conceded 56, giving them a goal difference of -7. Brighton have scored 52 and conceded 46, with a goal difference of 6. On that measure, Brighton show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Leeds's form string is LWDWD, while Brighton's latest sequence is LLWLW. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Leeds an overall score of 70 compared with 69 for Brighton. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 69. This gives Leeds the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.98.
Confidence
60%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.00Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
0.98 - 1.43Leeds vs BrightonProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Leeds win probability is 24.05%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Brighton win probability is 60.69%. Expected goals: Leeds 0.98, Brighton 1.43.
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More Premier League Predictions
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