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ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska

Conference League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (20.84% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 45%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give ML Vitebsk an overall score of 68 compared with 68 for Sutjeska. The attacking ratings are 77 and 66, while form ratings stand at 68 and 68. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.00 for ML Vitebsk and 1.14 for Sutjeska, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 66.12% and both teams to score at 20.84%.

Confidence

45% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.00 - 1.14 ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinML Vitebsk
49.95%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinSutjeska
32.05%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
66.12%
BTTSBoth teams to score
20.84%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-11.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 20.84%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=60, probability=20.84, confidence=45, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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