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Nancy vs Montpellier

Ligue 2 • Friday, August 14, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners (77.07% probability)

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 55%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 20:45
Market Odds @1.75
Match Statistical Context

Nancy vs Montpellier Pre-Match Data

Nancy enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 14 with 37 points from 34 matches, while Montpellier sit 8 with 51 points. Montpellier hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Montpellier carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Nancy have scored 35 and conceded 52, giving them a goal difference of -17. Montpellier have scored 41 and conceded 31, with a goal difference of 10. On that measure, Montpellier show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Nancy's form string is WWDLD, while Montpellier's latest sequence is DLWWD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Nancy an overall score of 76 compared with 73 for Montpellier. The attacking ratings are 82 and 78, while form ratings stand at 76 and 73. This gives Nancy the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.83.

Confidence

55% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

0.83 - 2.18 Nancy vs Montpellier
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinNancy
22.18%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinMontpellier
65.82%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
77.07%
BTTSBoth teams to score
71.62%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability77.07%
Model Probability%
Value Edge18.44%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Corners Engine v1 predicts Over 8.5 Corners. Model probability: 77.07%. Quality gate: corners quality=79, probability=77.07, confidence=55, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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