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Newcastle vs West Ham

Premier League Premier League • Sunday, May 17, 2026 • 18:30

AI Prediction

Home Win

Odds @2.10 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence64%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff18:30
Market Odds@2.10
Match Statistical Context

Newcastle vs West Ham Pre-Match Data

Newcastle enter this Premier League fixture ranked 12 with 49 points from 38 matches, while West Ham sit 18 with 39 points. Newcastle hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Newcastle carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Newcastle have scored 53 and conceded 55, giving them a goal difference of -2. West Ham have scored 46 and conceded 65, with a goal difference of -19. On that measure, Newcastle show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Newcastle's form string is LWDWL, while West Ham's latest sequence is WLLLW. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Newcastle an overall score of 70 compared with 70 for West Ham. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 70. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model.

Confidence

64%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.40Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.11 - 0.63Newcastle vs West Ham
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinNewcastle
64.16%
DrawMatch draw
15.25%
Away WinWest Ham
20.58%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
48.00%
BTTSBoth teams to score
42.00%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability47.62%
Model Probability%
Value Edge16.54%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Newcastle win probability is 64.16%, draw probability is 15.25%, and West Ham win probability is 20.58%. Expected goals: Newcastle 2.11, West Ham 0.63.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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