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Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen

Conference League • Thursday, August 06, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (23.78% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 54%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Sheriff Tiraspol an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for FC ST. Gallen. The attacking ratings are 80 and 74, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives FC ST. Gallen the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.76 for Sheriff Tiraspol and 1.36 for FC ST. Gallen, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.12. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 68.76% and both teams to score at 23.78%.

Confidence

54% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.40 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.76 - 1.36 Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinSheriff Tiraspol
38.54%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinFC ST. Gallen
33.46%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
68.76%
BTTSBoth teams to score
23.78%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability23.78%
Model Probability%
Value Edge11.18%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 23.78%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=63, probability=23.78, confidence=54, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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