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Sparta Praha vs Lyon

Champions League • Tuesday, August 04, 2026 • 20:00

AI Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners (84.16% probability)

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 57%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 20:00
Market Odds @1.75
Match Statistical Context

Sparta Praha vs Lyon Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Sparta Praha an overall score of 63 compared with 69 for Lyon. The attacking ratings are 65 and 75, while form ratings stand at 63 and 69. This gives Lyon the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.10 for Sparta Praha and 1.94 for Lyon, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.04. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 84.16% and both teams to score at 72.18%.

Confidence

57% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.70 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.10 - 1.94 Sparta Praha vs Lyon
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinSparta Praha
29.37%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinLyon
58.63%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
84.16%
BTTSBoth teams to score
72.18%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability84.16%
Model Probability%
Value Edge25.24%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Corners Engine v1 predicts Over 8.5 Corners. Model probability: 84.16%. Quality gate: corners quality=81, probability=84.16, confidence=57, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=strong.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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