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Sunderland vs Chelsea

Premier League Premier League • Sunday, May 24, 2026 • 17:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @3.45 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence65%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff17:00
Market Odds@3.45
Match Statistical Context

Sunderland vs Chelsea Pre-Match Data

Sunderland enter this Premier League fixture ranked 7 with 54 points from 38 matches, while Chelsea sit 10 with 52 points. Sunderland hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Sunderland carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Sunderland have scored 42 and conceded 48, giving them a goal difference of -6. Chelsea have scored 58 and conceded 52, with a goal difference of 6. On that measure, Chelsea show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Sunderland's form string is WWDDL, while Chelsea's latest sequence is LWDLL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Sunderland an overall score of 71 compared with 70 for Chelsea. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 70. This gives Sunderland the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.38.

Confidence

65%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.50Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.38 - 1.69Sunderland vs Chelsea
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinSunderland
34.52%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinChelsea
47.48%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.00%
BTTSBoth teams to score
62.00%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability28.99%
Model Probability%
Value Edge9.75%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Sunderland win probability is 34.52%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Chelsea win probability is 47.48%. Expected goals: Sunderland 1.38, Chelsea 1.69.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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