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Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje

Champions League • Wednesday, July 22, 2026 • 21:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (57.0% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 50%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 21:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Egnatia Rrogozhinë an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for Celje. The attacking ratings are 75 and 73, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.00 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 1.14 for Celje, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 66.12% and both teams to score at 57.00%.

Confidence

50% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.00 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.00 - 1.14 Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinEgnatia Rrogozhinë
50.02%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinCelje
31.98%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
66.12%
BTTSBoth teams to score
57.00%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-6.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 57.0%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=57.00, confidence=50, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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